Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2566.207642 2767.001309 2968.242901 3184.750570 3410.783988 3639.500157 3888.119867
2026-01-18 2236.563031 2538.196671 2849.681144 3194.189649 3563.391320 3946.090939 4371.670362
2026-01-25 2015.269531 2379.930439 2765.212561 3200.169837 3675.176285 4175.950552 4741.584047
2026-02-01 1822.493327 2230.123842 2669.564790 3174.476097 3734.678990 4333.553715 5018.572141
2026-02-08 1678.950289 2121.358548 2606.918431 3173.444805 3810.576434 4499.709787 5296.239325
2026-02-15 1542.061908 2009.779301 2531.999584 3150.133120 3854.037182 4623.534567 5521.318596
2026-02-22 1466.876346 1963.415308 2525.959377 3199.874666 3975.222436 4830.173944 5835.187262
2026-03-01 1379.698070 1897.221533 2492.173122 3213.412344 4051.540916 4983.430676 6086.763206
2026-03-08 1278.870719 1809.027951 2427.821542 3187.100453 4078.361865 5077.566138 6268.991742
2026-03-15 1177.520389 1714.900760 2351.898972 3143.056969 4081.029498 5141.148520 6413.895689
2026-03-22 1168.597894 1734.154730 2411.206253 3258.563388 4269.414392 5417.627606 6801.938726
2026-03-29 1127.701713 1710.719529 2416.745173 3308.172352 4379.145611 5602.554811 7084.510551
2026-04-05 1067.039129 1660.766365 2389.374763 3318.588075 4443.904150 5737.557463 7312.855340
2026-04-12 1009.452909 1612.324238 2362.036523 3327.657009 4506.193215 5869.341045 7537.648760
2026-04-19 954.707504 1564.921500 2333.821030 3333.773425 4563.433701 5994.090588 7753.454180
2026-04-26 889.376999 1500.255249 2281.175622 3307.418529 4579.598588 6068.961209 7909.803001
2026-05-03 839.301536 1453.934370 2250.124362 3306.360663 4625.179159 6177.689983 8105.157475
2026-05-10 783.074113 1396.439066 2202.421528 3282.447720 4641.229919 6250.039316 8256.670942
2026-05-17 760.346122 1384.942248 2214.218117 3333.470169 4749.182953 6432.214171 8538.231989
2026-05-24 724.590735 1353.148679 2197.825097 3347.355139 4810.329074 6557.592656 8752.019768
2026-05-31 675.635305 1299.921335 2150.937838 3320.367736 4819.287704 6619.001607 8888.794669
2026-06-07 623.126387 1238.884954 2091.433058 3275.188723 4803.952060 6649.767270 8987.928214
2026-06-14 630.774485 1268.587608 2156.456102 3393.660453 4995.566621 6933.360584 9391.674543